<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><?xml-stylesheet href="/rss-styles.xsl" type="text/xsl"?><rss version="2.0"><channel><title>SM Research — Research by Srinivas Medida</title><description>Founder-authored investment research, current theses and subsequent revisions by Srinivas Medida.</description><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/</link><language>en</language><lastBuildDate>Thu, 03 Sep 2026 02:40:19 GMT</lastBuildDate><image><title>SM Research</title><url>https://smresearch.vercel.app/icon-512.png</url><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/</link></image><item><title>Why I Prefer a US 2s10s Steepener to Duration</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-prefer-a-us-2s10s-steepener-to-duration/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-prefer-a-us-2s10s-steepener-to-duration/</guid><description>A cross-asset rates view: Treasury buybacks support liquidity, but the cleaner expression is a 2s10s steepener rather than an outright long-duration bet.</description><pubDate>Fri, 28 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Macro Research</category><category>US Treasuries</category><category>Yield Curve</category><category>Federal Reserve</category><category>Fixed Income</category><category>Fiscal Policy</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Gold After the August 2026 Rebound</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/gold-after-the-august-2026-rebound/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/gold-after-the-august-2026-rebound/</guid><description>A neutral late-August gold view: official-sector and ETF demand have improved, but high real yields and a tactical rebound limit near-term asymmetry.</description><pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Macro Research</category><category>Gold</category><category>Central Banks</category><category>Real Yields</category><category>ETFs</category><category>Macro</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Am Bearish Brent Crude Into Late 2026</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-am-bearish-brent-crude-into-late-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-am-bearish-brent-crude-into-late-2026/</guid><description>A July Brent short thesis re-underwritten in late August: renewed disruption weakens the prompt case, while a projected return to surplus still points lower over a longer horizon.</description><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Brent Crude</category><category>Oil</category><category>OPEC+</category><category>Middle East</category><category>Energy</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Am Neutral Copper After the 2026 Rally</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-am-neutral-copper-after-the-2026-rally/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-am-neutral-copper-after-the-2026-rally/</guid><description>A neutral copper view reaffirmed in late August: prices remain near record levels while the latest official refined-balance forecast points to modest surpluses.</description><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Copper</category><category>LME</category><category>Industrial Metals</category><category>Electrification</category><category>China</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Remained Bullish Gold</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-remained-bullish-gold/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-remained-bullish-gold/</guid><description>A retrospective review of my February 2026 decision to maintain a bullish gold view after a sharp policy- and positioning-driven correction.</description><pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Macro Research</category><category>Gold</category><category>Central Banks</category><category>Commodity Strategy</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Remained Bullish LME Aluminium</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-lme-aluminium/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-lme-aluminium/</guid><description>A retrospective review of my February 2026 aluminium re-underwriting, with a higher target based on supply rigidity and low visible stocks.</description><pubDate>Thu, 05 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Aluminium</category><category>LME</category><category>China</category><category>Industrial Metals</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bullish Gold Into 2026</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-gold-into-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-gold-into-2026/</guid><description>A retrospective review of my January 2026 gold thesis, centred on real yields, fiscal credibility, central-bank demand and reserve diversification.</description><pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Macro Research</category><category>Gold</category><category>Central Banks</category><category>Real Yields</category><category>Fiscal Policy</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Turned Bullish on Nickel</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-nickel-into-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-nickel-into-2026/</guid><description>A retrospective review of my January 2026 reversal from bearish to bullish nickel as policy risk and cost-curve stress were repriced.</description><pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Nickel</category><category>Indonesia</category><category>LME</category><category>Thesis Reversal</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bullish Aluminium Into 2026</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-aluminium-into-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-aluminium-into-2026/</guid><description>A retrospective review of an aluminium thesis based on China’s output ceiling, low LME inventories and resilient infrastructure demand.</description><pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Aluminium</category><category>China</category><category>LME</category><category>Energy Transition</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bullish Arabica Coffee</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-arabica-coffee/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-arabica-coffee/</guid><description>A retrospective review of a tactical Arabica coffee trade based on weather risk, low certified stocks and a tariff-driven pullback.</description><pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Coffee</category><category>Arabica</category><category>Agriculture</category><category>Brazil</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bullish Live Cattle Into 2026</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-live-cattle-into-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-live-cattle-into-2026/</guid><description>A retrospective review of a live-cattle thesis based on a multi-year herd contraction, biological supply lags and resilient beef demand.</description><pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Live Cattle</category><category>Agriculture</category><category>Beef</category><category>USDA</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bullish Uranium Into 2026</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-uranium-into-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-uranium-into-2026/</guid><description>A long-duration uranium thesis based on reactor growth, future utility contracting and concentrated conversion and enrichment capacity.</description><pubDate>Thu, 20 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Uranium</category><category>Nuclear Energy</category><category>Energy Security</category><category>Utilities</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bearish Nickel</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bearish-nickel/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bearish-nickel/</guid><description>A retrospective review of a bearish nickel thesis built on Indonesian supply growth, rising LME inventories and weaker battery demand.</description><pubDate>Thu, 13 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Nickel</category><category>Indonesia</category><category>Batteries</category><category>LME</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bearish Brent Into 2026</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bearish-brent-crude-into-2026/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bearish-brent-crude-into-2026/</guid><description>A retrospective review of a bearish January 2026 Brent thesis built on non-OPEC supply growth, inventory rebuilding and fragile demand.</description><pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Brent</category><category>Crude Oil</category><category>OPEC</category><category>Energy</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Was Bullish Henry Hub Natural Gas</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-henry-hub-natural-gas/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-was-bullish-henry-hub-natural-gas/</guid><description>A retrospective review of a bullish Henry Hub thesis based on LNG exports, winter demand and slowing supply growth.</description><pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Natural Gas</category><category>Henry Hub</category><category>LNG</category><category>Energy</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Why I Expected LME Zinc to Converge</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-expected-lme-zinc-to-converge-toward-shfe-zinc/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/why-i-expected-lme-zinc-to-converge-toward-shfe-zinc/</guid><description>A retrospective review of a zinc market-structure trade based on extreme LME scarcity, surplus Chinese metal and an open export arbitrage.</description><pubDate>Thu, 30 Oct 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Commodity Research</category><category>Zinc</category><category>LME</category><category>SHFE</category><category>Relative Value</category><category>Market Structure</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item><item><title>Three Commodity-Linked Ideas — October 2025</title><link>https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/three-commodity-linked-ideas-october-2025/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">https://smresearch.vercel.app/research/three-commodity-linked-ideas-october-2025/</guid><description>A retrospective review of three bullish ideas across Sika, Clean Harbors and uranium, with the original theses tested against subsequent evidence.</description><pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2025 00:00:00 GMT</pubDate><category>Research</category><category>Investment Case</category><category>Sika</category><category>Clean Harbors</category><category>Uranium</category><category>Industrials</category><category>Equity Research</category><author>Srinivas Medida</author></item></channel></rss>